According to Professor Prud’homme, 80 km / h will not save 400 lives but will cost 3.8 billion euros
A forecast analysis by economics professor Remy Prud’homme published today by the Independent Evaluation Committee of 80 km / h shows that this measure widely criticized by the French will not save "400 lives" as the government insists…. but should still cost the taxpayer a trifle of 3.8 billion euros! Explanations.
In the midst of the crisis, the forecast "cost / benefit" analysis published today by the (CIE) may not improve the bond of "trust" between the French and their government…
- 80 km / h :
- Automatic speed cameras :
- Yellow vests :
- Cost / benefit analysis of 80 km / h :
Judge for yourself: Professor Remy Prud’homme, member of this committee by 40 million motorists (40MA) with other associations, based himself on the two main impacts of 80 km / h: the expected reduction in number of road accidents "due to excessive or unsuitable speeds" on the one hand and "loss of time mechanically attributable to the reduction in the average speed practiced on the road network effectively affected by the new speed limit" d ‘somewhere else.
Conclusion: on the cost side, the study estimates at "300 million hours (the equivalent of 200,000 years of work or leisure)" the time lost caused by the drop in average speed (- 4 km / h on two-way roads without central separator), which amounts to a "conventional cost of 4.4 billion euros per year".
300 million hours lost
On the advantages side, estimates that "of the 530 people who died in 2017 in road accidents due partially or mainly to speed, less than a hundred deaths are likely to be" avoided "on the 80 km / h network ", which represents a" gain "equivalent by convention to" 600 million euros ".
If we subtract these 600 million euros "saved" from the 4.4 billion euros lost, "the final net cost of 80 km / h is around 3.8 billion euros per year", without even counting the additional costs "linked, for example, to the multiple modifications to road signs, also payable by taxpayers", notes the Committee. Without forgetting the recalibration of the speed control instruments, in other words the radars !
"Lowering the speed to 80 km / h will not allow the achievement of the government objective of a reduction of 400 deaths on the roads concerned", concludes Jean-Luc Michaud, president of the CIE. "In addition, the study shows that this predictable failure will be aggravated by 200,000 years lost in cars, which represents a final net cost of 3.8 billion euros per year which will mainly penalize the inhabitants of the most fragile regions".
The readers of MNC – who, as everyone knows, are a little better informed than the others – already know that the association 40 million motorists, taking advantage of according to which the 80 km / h are "a bullshit", had renewed its request to. Today, the CIE regrets "not yet having been able to access the road accident databases despite the official request sent two months ago by its president to the Minister of the Interior".
It’s clear ?
However, it is a legal obligation since since 2009, "French law requires that all major public investment projects be subject to a quantitative impact study of the beneficial and harmful effects (expressed by convention in monetary value) induced by their implementation ", recalls the CIE, stressing that" this evaluation must determine whether the project is appropriate from the point of view of the general interest ".
Certainly, Christophe Castaner had other cats vests to be whipped lately … But there is no doubt that the Minister of the Interior – who has also managed the Road Safety Directorate since – will very soon accede to this request in full transparency !
- MNC of December 11, 2018 :
- MNC of December 10, 2018 :
- MNC of October 18, 2018 :
- MNC of July 19, 2018 :
- Braking distances :
"This analysis is provisional and will be the subject of details and improvements over the coming months and depending on additional data to which the committee will be able to access in the future (records of speeds practiced on the network, observed road accidents, share the speed factor in the occurrence of road accidents, etc.) ", concludes 40MA, which expects from the public authorities" the greatest transparency on this sensitive subject ".
Video: Why 80 km / h won’t save 400 lives and cost 3.8 billion euros
Organizational chart of the Independent 80 km / h Evaluation Committee
Jean-Luc Michaud, president
- Senior official in the ministries of sustainable development and the economy. A specialist in environmental and mobility issues, tourism and regional planning, he was an associate professor at the Sorbonne and has served as an international expert with the European Union, the OECD, the ‘UNESCO, etc. After having held mandates at the municipal, inter-municipal and regional levels, he sat as a qualified person on the Economic, Social and Environmental Council of the Ile-de-France region. He is an officer of the Legion of Honor and of the National Order of Merit.
Pierre Chasseray, secretary and spokesperson
- General delegate of 40 million motorists, association founded in 2005 to represent the interests of motorists with the public authorities and the economic sector of the road.
Bernard Darniche, spokesperson
- Former racing driver who now defends "a positive view of the automobile, an educational approach to driving and serene and sustainable mobility".
Fabien Delrot, spokesperson
- National coordinator of the French Federation of Angry Bikers (FFMC), which acts to defend the practice of motorized two-wheelers around proposals and a project based on freedom, education, respect and sharing.
Members of the Independent 80 km / h Evaluation Committee
Denis Astagneau
- Former president of the French Automobile Press Association, former automotive journalist, member of the National Road Safety Council.
Ingrid Attal
- Lawyer at the Paris Bar. Its activity has been focused exclusively on the defense of road users for 13 years. As such, since November 2012, she has been involved alongside 40 million motorists, of which she chairs the legal committee..
Teodoro Bartuccio
- President of the association "My bike is a life", born in 2017 from the desire of cyclists to obtain measures to circulate in complete safety. Their slogan is "a movement for shared awareness".
Francis carrion
- President of the Alcohol, speed and misinterpretation association against driving under the influence of alcohol and its dramatic consequences for the safety of road users.
Jean-Baptiste Iosca
- Lawyer specializing in the highway code, president of the association of road law lawyers. He is the author of "65 legal tips to keep or recover your driving license" and "License / not allowed while driving".
Marc Jeansou
- President of the National Union of Automobiles Clubs (UNAC) and of the Automobile Club of the North of France which supports, represents and defends motorists in all their procedures. He represents the association in various commissions (European metropolis of Lille, municipal consultation council of the city of Lille, prefecture of Nord and Pas-de-Calais, etc.).
Michel Le Guern
- Chairman and co-founder of the association "Melodie, les keys pour la vie", which helps victims of road accidents and prevention. The association received the European Road Safety Prize in 2007. Mr. Le Guern was also awarded the Internal Security medal "road safety staple".
Remy Prud’homme
- Economist, professor emeritus of universities, he was also deputy director of the environment at the OECD, visiting professor at MIT and frequent consultant of the World Bank.
Didier Renoux
- Communication officer at the French Federation of Angry Motards (FFMC).
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